Monday, July 6, 2026

is AI bubble worse than DOTCOM bubble?

Start with following circular financing as in who's the buyer vs seller and what are they buying or selling?

& then is it a commodity or a premium product? 

When Meta starts selljng [extra] computer capacity .. you need to start thinking as what's wrong with this picture? 

What i find funny is how this AI thingy shifted the focus from big models to small models to more energy to power centers to less energy to NVDA the chipmaker to everyone making their own to memory / Korea now .. to all jobs going to AI to Meta realizes its biggest mistake .. the point: is there anything unique here or are we just shifting the focus..!

Wednesday, July 1, 2026

Meta goes into cloud business ..

If you can't find use of something ( aka excess capacity), rent it to someone who can use it or maybe..?

Tuesday, June 23, 2026

why the investors are drinking the coolade investing in AI debt ..?

Because they.are spoiled with returns in technology and other markets which are driven due low interest rates in last 20+ years .. going forward rates will stay high and the funds invested at these rates may not be as lucrative as in past 20 years.

Moreover, a good chuck of the debt is funded by private equity which always chases new stuff.. remember the term venture debt used during late dot com period by companies like WebVan.com

Wednesday, June 17, 2026

Warsh created a great first impression [on me] ..!

Kudos to him and a great start on the new job .. with the shortest statement possible.. and giving up on providing forward guidance .. direct approach to answering people's question ... telling the geniuses in the room that half of their questions are ridiculous [of course in a nice way!]. So the reporters used their second serve cautiosly .. which will improve the quality of these conf. in future.

dots .. dot plots .. statements .. news conference .. everything is on the table ..!

He made an excellent point that rather than looking for guidance from FOMC, market should react to data available and FOMC should react to market's response to data .. and i love his approach and sequencing of steps in decision making ..!

finally, he says that inflation is a choice .. and i agree.

is AI bubble worse than DOTCOM bubble?

Start with following circular financing as in who's the buyer vs seller and what are they buying or selling? & then is it a commodit...