Monday, April 11, 2022

inflation or recession ..? or is it both ..?

crude down 5%

teenies 2.75% 

china in lock down mode

markets down 0.5% or higher this morning

at

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Warsh created a great first impression [on me] ..!

Kudos to him and a great start on the new job .. with the shortest statement possible.. and giving up on providing forward guidance .. direc...

  • you don't need to be a PhD in economics ...
    to solve an economic problem ... & there are 100s of PhD working at Federal Reserves forecasting an inflation in future due to tariffs ....
  • CPI came benign ...
    either folks are not buying imported stuff which also helps the trade deficit - two birds killed with same stone .. obviously energy being l...
  • Too late .. Fed chairman ...
    his argument is that the forecasters are modelling based on projected tariff as called by Trump ... & if you are using the numbers used ...