Friday, November 3, 2023

both NFP & ISM-S came weaker than expected ... market cheers w/ 6.2p upside from the low

 teenies settle around 4.5; a 10p drop in 1W

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walk on the strip after a long time

  • you don't need to be a PhD in economics ...
    to solve an economic problem ... & there are 100s of PhD working at Federal Reserves forecasting an inflation in future due to tariffs ....
  • CPI came benign ...
    either folks are not buying imported stuff which also helps the trade deficit - two birds killed with same stone .. obviously energy being l...
  • Too late .. Fed chairman ...
    his argument is that the forecasters are modelling based on projected tariff as called by Trump ... & if you are using the numbers used ...