Wednesday, August 5, 2020

Jai Sia Ram ...

after 500 years, a milestone is achieved in India ... It was a humbling experience to see the prime minister Modi as a genuine devotee and determined person, who led the country to see this day become a reality ..!

he did a sashtang pranam to the Lord, & i can tell you half the Hindus don't even know what it is or how to do it right .. & unlike most other politicians who would only go show only a political gesture ..!

he changed the slogan a bit, instead of Jai Shree Ram, its Jai Sia Ram ... a softer version & i didn't realize the difference until i heard it myself & i would say good choice ..!

Haven't seen many rational people in my life (btw, in behavior finance, an irrational person is same as normal which most of the humans are), & he is not only rational but also a politician ... so, he got way up on my list ..!

joke of the day ...

a security analyst at BOA downgrades APPL stock, while raises its price target at the same time .. it must be crazy or drunk or maybe both ... but that's what they are being paid for.

ADP: 167K

ADP: 167K, missed by a million or so ..!

the point is that those numbers in millions are already history, and they are flattening to prior ranges.

Monday, August 3, 2020

Sunday, August 2, 2020

nature vs human creation ...

one of my hypothesis is that most things created by nature/God are asymmetric in shape, while humans strive for building symmetric things .. & i can give you many examples, but one of the simplest ones is shape of a mountain or a river (nature's creation) vs shape of a building or road (man's creation).

now think about the stability & durability between the two ... how long nature vs man's creation last?

but before i compare the nature vs man's design; think about the stock market charts in the following context:

1) do stock charts look like symmetric figures like trends and buildings, or more like mountains and valleys?
2) how are humans trying to solve them mathematically to find out their shapes ..?
 
what's the point ?

well, the points is that humans assume that market behavior has some some sort of symmetry; therefore use mathematics (which is based on symmetry of numbers), or regression to identify trends, & in most cases find one when there is none ...!

these mathematical solutions work fine to analyse and design humanly things like a building, but would fail miserable to define the shape of a mountain ... it will be an almost impossible to define the shape of a mountain (a nature's creation) in a mathematical equation ...!

extending this logic, there are some interesting shapes also known as fractals or mandlebrot curves & in them a basic shape is called cardioid, which is considered close to the shape of of heart designed by a mathematician ..which looks like as below:

cardiod


now compare a mathematician's cardioid to God's creation, which can last up to 100 or so years ..!

hope you get the point ...

in conclusion:
1) designing & building something based on symmetry may not be the best approach &
2) mathematics which is based in symmetric number line may not be suited to define and solve human problems - like emotions and behavior.
3) assuming human emotions and behavior drive the markets, the mathematics (currently in use) wouldn't work.

think about it ..! 


Market reaches close to 6600